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Bayesian Estimation of Multivariate Conditional Correlation GARCH models and Their Application

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dc.date.accessioned 2015-11-26T11:15:20Z und
dc.date.accessioned 2017-10-24T12:21:49Z
dc.date.available 2015-11-26T11:15:20Z und
dc.date.available 2017-10-24T12:21:49Z
dc.date.issued 2015-11-26T11:15:20Z
dc.identifier.uri http://radr.hulib.helsinki.fi/handle/10138.1/5163 und
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10138.1/5163
dc.title Bayesian Estimation of Multivariate Conditional Correlation GARCH models and Their Application en
ethesis.department.URI http://data.hulib.helsinki.fi/id/61364eb4-647a-40e2-8539-11c5c0af8dc2
ethesis.department Institutionen för matematik och statistik sv
ethesis.department Department of Mathematics and Statistics en
ethesis.department Matematiikan ja tilastotieteen laitos fi
ethesis.faculty Matematisk-naturvetenskapliga fakulteten sv
ethesis.faculty Matemaattis-luonnontieteellinen tiedekunta fi
ethesis.faculty Faculty of Science en
ethesis.faculty.URI http://data.hulib.helsinki.fi/id/8d59209f-6614-4edd-9744-1ebdaf1d13ca
ethesis.university.URI http://data.hulib.helsinki.fi/id/50ae46d8-7ba9-4821-877c-c994c78b0d97
ethesis.university Helsingfors universitet sv
ethesis.university University of Helsinki en
ethesis.university Helsingin yliopisto fi
dct.creator Chen, Jun
dct.issued 2015
dct.language.ISO639-2 eng
dct.abstract The thesis studies three different conditional correlation Multivariate GARCH (MGARCH) models. They are the Constant Conditional Correlation (CCC-) GARCH, Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC-) GARCH and Asymmetric Dynamic Conditional Correlation (ADCC-) GARCH, in which the time-varying volatilities are modelled by three univariate GARCH models with the error term assumed to have a Gaussian distribution. In order to compare the performance of these models, we apply them to the volatility analysis of two stocks. Regarding model inference, we adopt a Bayesian approach and implement a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm, Metropolis Within Gibbs (MWG), instead of the regular maximum likelihood (ML) method. Finally, the estimated models are employed to compute Value at Risk (VaR) and their performance is discussed. en
dct.language en
ethesis.language.URI http://data.hulib.helsinki.fi/id/languages/eng
ethesis.language English en
ethesis.language englanti fi
ethesis.language engelska sv
ethesis.thesistype pro gradu-avhandlingar sv
ethesis.thesistype pro gradu -tutkielmat fi
ethesis.thesistype master's thesis en
ethesis.thesistype.URI http://data.hulib.helsinki.fi/id/thesistypes/mastersthesis
ethesis.degreeprogram Bayesian Statistics and Decision Analysis en
dct.identifier.urn URN:NBN:fi-fe2017112251651
dc.type.dcmitype Text

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